Final polls show Donald Trump’s chances of losing Florida

With five days left before Election Day, the final polls in Florida are unlikely to be shaken Donald Trumpcertainty of victory in the Sunshine State, which has not voted for Democrats since 2012.

While Republican candidate expected backlash after a speaker at one of his New York rallies infamously compared Puerto Rico to a “floating island of garbage,” Trump appears to have maintained a marginal lead over the candidate Kamala Harris in Florida, according to a Cygnal poll that put him five points ahead of Harris.

The poll, conducted Oct. 26-28 and released to Florida Politics Wednesday, covered last Sunday comedian and podcaster Tony Hinchcliffe told a racist joke in front of a stunned audience. The comment, which sparked national outrage, may have had particular significance in Florida, which has the second-highest concentration of voters in Puerto Rico (5.4 percent) after Connecticut (7.4 percent), according to 2023 U.S. Census Bureau data compiled by Axios. 9 percent). .

In Florida, a Republican senator Rick Scott and Representatives Maria Elvira Salazar and Carlos Gimenez quickly condemned the comment created by comedian and podcaster Hinchcliffe, who The Trump campaign also distanced itself.

However, according to a Cygnal poll, Trump emerged relatively unscathed from this unfortunate event as he maintains his lead among Puerto Ricans and other Latino voters in the Sunshine State.

The poll gives him the support of 50 percent of Latino voters, an improvement from 46 percent in 2020. However, while he leads among Latinos by 10 points, his lead among Puerto Ricans shrinks to just two points.

Overall, Trump leads Harris 48 to 43 percent, according to the poll. About 5 percent of likely voters are still undecided. The former president also has an advantage among swing voters, with an estimated 35 percent supporting him and more than 32 percent supporting Harris.

While polls are still in Trump’s favor, his lead in the Cygnal poll appears to have narrowed compared to a few weeks and months ago, and the gap between the two candidates is narrowing. But other recent polls paint a much rosier picture of the former president.

According to the latest national poll conducted Tuesday by Florida Atlantic University’s Political Communication and Public Opinion Research Laboratory (PolCom Lab) and Mainstreet Research USA, Trump leads Harris in Florida 53% to 44% among likely voters (+9).

The poll, conducted by ActiVote of 400 likely voters Oct. 11-27 and released Monday, shows Trump leading Harris by 11.6 percent in the Sunshine State.