Here’s who leads in the most important electoral battlegrounds in 2024

Pennsylvania: It couldn’t be closer – the balance of candidates is 48% according to both the New York Times and Siena questionnaire (margin of error 3.5 points) and the Morning Consult survey with Three Other ties last week, while Harris holds a 50-48% lead in Marist vote and 48-47% in the Washington Post. voteand in a large group it has an advantage of 49-48%. A study of cooperative elections poll, although Trump was up 47-46% on Wednesday. Quinnipiac vote. Trump leads Harris by 0.2 points in FiveThirtyEight’s poll average.

Georgia: Harris has a 48%-47% lead in the New York Times/Siena poll and Trump has a 50%-48% lead in the Morning Consult poll, while Trump has a 48%-47% lead on Thursday CNN/SSRS poll (margin of error 4.7), and in the CES survey (2,663 respondents) advanced by a much greater 51%-46%. Trump leads by 1.5 points in FiveThirtyEight poll average.

Michigan: Harris and Trump each have 47% of the vote in the New York Times/Siena questionnairealthough Harris is up 49%-48% on the year Morning consultation poll and 51%-48% in Marist survey along with Three Other surveys which gave Harris the lead while Trump has a rare lead in Washington Post poll. released on Thursday, which shows him with a 47%-45% lead among registered voters and a 49%-48% lead in Emerson’s study released on Tuesday (margin of error 3 points). Harris is ahead in Michigan by 0.7 points in FiveThirtyEight’s rankings poll average.

Wisconsin: Harris leads 49%-47% in the New York Times/Siena vote50%-48% at Marist questionnaire50%-47% in CES survey (1,542 respondents), 51%-45% in CNN/SSRS poll and 50%-49% wt Marquette Pollwhile Trump is roughly one point ahead (rounded to 48-48%) Morning consultationTrump rose 49% to 48% for Emerson questionnaireand both candidates’ Quinnipiac score is 48%. vote. Harris is favored by 0.8 points in FiveThirtyEight’s average.

Nevada: The New York Times/Siena vote shows Harris leading Trump 49-46% while Emerson leads vote published on Friday showed Harris ahead 48%-47% (margin of error 3.6 points), and at CES she was up 51%-47% questionnaire (933 respondents), although Trump has a 48-47% lead in CNN/SSRS questionnaire published on Tuesday (margin of error 4.6 points). Trump is 0.7 points ahead of FiveThirtyEight poll average.

Arizona: Trump leads 49%-45% in the New York Times/Siena voteadvanced by 51%-47% in the CES survey (2,066 respondents) and led by 50%-49% in the Marist survey vote released October 24 (margin of error 3.7) and 49%-46% in the Washington Post-Schar school vote (margin of error 5) while Morning consultation shows a 48%-48% tie, with Harris leading 48%-47% by weight CNN/SSRS poll will be released this week (4.4 margin of error). Trump gains 2.6 points in FiveThirtyEight’s ratings poll average.